▲ 8.1% vs 30d ago
Bitcoin Snapshot
Headline metrics — market, on-chain, and sentiment.
Market Data
▲ 8.2% vs 30d ago
▼ -7.5% vs 30d ago
On-chain Data
▲ 0.07% vs 30d ago
▲ 28.4% vs 30d ago
▲ 94.9% vs 30d ago
Investor Sentiment
Bitcoin Price
Price vs on-chain valuation models and moving averages.
Secret Satoshis 2026 Price Outlook
Simple moving averages · 3-month = 90 daily closes · 1-year = 364 daily closes · 200-week = 1,400 daily closes. Annual cases are maintained outlook levels.
Performance
Compare Bitcoin and other assets’ returns across the same periods.
Stock Market Index Performance
| Asset | Price | 7 Day Return | MTD Return | YTD Return | 90 Day Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin - [BTC] | $86,018 | 3.29% | 3.21% | -1.46% | 35.44% |
| Nasdaq-100 ETF - [QQQ] | $756 | 2.67% | 2.22% | 23.52% | 6.70% |
| S&P 500 Index ETF - [SPY] | $775 | 1.20% | 1.60% | 14.51% | 3.88% |
| Russell 2000 Small-Cap ETF - [IWM] | $283 | 1.20% | 1.98% | 15.90% | -4.08% |
| International Stock ETF - [VXUS] | $86 | 0.12% | 1.05% | 14.64% | 1.60% |
Sector Performance
| Asset | Price | 7 Day Return | MTD Return | YTD Return | 90 Day Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin - [BTC] | $86,018 | 3.29% | 3.21% | -1.46% | 35.44% |
| Technology Sector ETF - [XLK] | $201 | 3.29% | 2.65% | 40.07% | 12.27% |
| Energy Sector ETF - [XLE] | $63 | 2.17% | 3.17% | 44.73% | 16.81% |
| Financials Sector ETF - [XLF] | $54 | -0.57% | 0.90% | -0.42% | -3.53% |
| Real Estate Sector ETF - [XLRE] | $41 | -1.64% | -0.59% | 3.22% | -8.64% |
Macro Asset Class Performance
| Asset | Price | 7 Day Return | MTD Return | YTD Return | 90 Day Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin - [BTC] | $86,018 | 3.29% | 3.21% | -1.46% | 35.44% |
| US Dollar Index - [DXY] | $102 | 0.96% | 0.71% | 3.96% | 1.02% |
| Gold ETF - [GLD] | $380 | 0.43% | -0.34% | -4.23% | 0.55% |
| Aggregate Bond ETF - [AGG] | $94 | -0.20% | -0.08% | -2.86% | -3.14% |
| S&P GSCI Commodity Index - [SPGSCI] | $729 | -0.53% | -0.26% | 32.82% | 15.38% |
Bitcoin Industry Performance
| Asset | Price | 7 Day Return | MTD Return | YTD Return | 90 Day Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin - [BTC] | $86,018 | 3.29% | 3.21% | -1.46% | 35.44% |
| MicroStrategy - [MSTR] | $164 | 4.64% | 7.41% | 8.21% | 68.89% |
| Block - [XYZ] | $76 | 3.98% | 3.67% | 17.11% | -1.71% |
| Coinbase - [COIN] | $188 | -1.86% | 0.97% | -16.77% | 15.11% |
| Bitcoin Miners ETF - [WGMI] | $44 | -4.13% | -1.29% | 15.89% | -15.73% |
Correlation
Return correlations across Bitcoin and major markets.
90-Day Correlation Matrix
| Asset group | Asset | Bitcoin | Broad equity markets | Sectors | Macro | Bitcoin industry | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | SPY | QQQ | IWM | VXUS | XLK | XLF | XLE | XLRE | DXY | GLD | AGG | GSCI | MSTR | XYZ | COIN | WGMI | ||
| Bitcoin | Bitcoin[BTC] | 1.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Broad equity markets | S&P 500[SPY] | 0.58 | 1.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Nasdaq-100[QQQ] | 0.65 | 0.93 | 1.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Russell 2000[IWM] | 0.42 | 0.80 | 0.75 | 1.00 | ||||||||||||||
| International Stocks[VXUS] | 0.34 | 0.90 | 0.86 | 0.83 | 1.00 | |||||||||||||
| Sectors | Technology[XLK] | 0.50 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.64 | 0.82 | 1.00 | |||||||||||
| Financials[XLF] | 0.35 | 0.63 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 1.00 | |||||||||||
| Energy[XLE] | -0.41 | -0.15 | -0.27 | -0.13 | -0.20 | -0.08 | 0.23 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
| Real Estate[XLRE] | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.86 | 0.63 | 0.35 | -0.16 | 1.00 | |||||||||
| Macro | US Dollar Index[DXY] | 0.02 | -0.30 | -0.27 | -0.21 | -0.47 | -0.30 | -0.17 | -0.15 | -0.34 | 1.00 | |||||||
| Gold[GLD] | 0.21 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.52 | 0.34 | 0.09 | 0.25 | -0.22 | 1.00 | |||||||
| Aggregate Bond[AGG] | 0.31 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.68 | 0.69 | 0.68 | 0.15 | -0.11 | 0.61 | -0.23 | 0.58 | 1.00 | ||||||
| S&P Commodity Index[GSCI] | -0.45 | -0.58 | -0.57 | -0.54 | -0.67 | -0.48 | -0.20 | 0.54 | -0.59 | 0.22 | -0.17 | -0.40 | 1.00 | |||||
| Bitcoin industry | MicroStrategy[MSTR] | 0.93 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.45 | 0.40 | -0.18 | 0.17 | 0.02 | 0.25 | 0.24 | -0.34 | 1.00 | |||
| Block[XYZ] | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.62 | -0.12 | 0.39 | -0.01 | 0.51 | 0.34 | -0.17 | 0.43 | 1.00 | |||
| Coinbase[COIN] | 0.79 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 0.26 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.31 | -0.19 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.16 | 0.12 | -0.29 | 0.87 | 0.39 | 1.00 | ||
| Bitcoin Miners[WGMI] | 0.50 | 0.47 | 0.62 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.63 | -0.04 | -0.24 | 0.46 | -0.26 | 0.33 | 0.33 | -0.47 | 0.50 | 0.12 | 0.34 | 1.00 | |
Pearson return correlations over 30 calendar days, using shared observation dates. Each pair appears once; — indicates insufficient data. DXY = DX-Y.NYB · GSCI = ^SPGSCI.
| Asset group | Asset | Bitcoin | Broad equity markets | Sectors | Macro | Bitcoin industry | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | SPY | QQQ | IWM | VXUS | XLK | XLF | XLE | XLRE | DXY | GLD | AGG | GSCI | MSTR | XYZ | COIN | WGMI | ||
| Bitcoin | Bitcoin[BTC] | 1.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Broad equity markets | S&P 500[SPY] | 0.35 | 1.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Nasdaq-100[QQQ] | 0.37 | 0.90 | 1.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Russell 2000[IWM] | 0.31 | 0.80 | 0.75 | 1.00 | ||||||||||||||
| International Stocks[VXUS] | 0.39 | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.78 | 1.00 | |||||||||||||
| Sectors | Technology[XLK] | 0.30 | 0.78 | 0.94 | 0.66 | 0.79 | 1.00 | |||||||||||
| Financials[XLF] | 0.16 | 0.55 | 0.24 | 0.43 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 1.00 | |||||||||||
| Energy[XLE] | -0.30 | -0.33 | -0.31 | -0.36 | -0.33 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
| Real Estate[XLRE] | 0.13 | 0.22 | -0.01 | 0.25 | 0.16 | -0.12 | 0.43 | -0.23 | 1.00 | |||||||||
| Macro | US Dollar Index[DXY] | -0.33 | -0.30 | -0.25 | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.22 | -0.11 | 0.05 | -0.14 | 1.00 | |||||||
| Gold[GLD] | 0.50 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.55 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.18 | 0.08 | -0.51 | 1.00 | |||||||
| Aggregate Bond[AGG] | 0.27 | 0.54 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.35 | 0.36 | -0.41 | 0.43 | -0.37 | 0.44 | 1.00 | ||||||
| S&P Commodity Index[GSCI] | -0.14 | -0.57 | -0.45 | -0.51 | -0.44 | -0.31 | -0.46 | 0.67 | -0.37 | 0.03 | -0.07 | -0.54 | 1.00 | |||||
| Bitcoin industry | MicroStrategy[MSTR] | 0.84 | 0.45 | 0.47 | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.42 | 0.22 | -0.32 | 0.11 | -0.32 | 0.51 | 0.34 | -0.24 | 1.00 | |||
| Block[XYZ] | 0.30 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 0.59 | 0.37 | 0.24 | 0.56 | -0.30 | 0.30 | -0.21 | 0.28 | 0.47 | -0.40 | 0.37 | 1.00 | |||
| Coinbase[COIN] | 0.77 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.22 | -0.30 | 0.12 | -0.27 | 0.44 | 0.29 | -0.20 | 0.85 | 0.46 | 1.00 | ||
| Bitcoin Miners[WGMI] | 0.31 | 0.44 | 0.60 | 0.46 | 0.60 | 0.67 | -0.02 | -0.20 | -0.17 | -0.26 | 0.32 | 0.17 | -0.13 | 0.41 | 0.05 | 0.35 | 1.00 | |
Pearson return correlations over 90 calendar days, using shared observation dates. Each pair appears once; — indicates insufficient data. DXY = DX-Y.NYB · GSCI = ^SPGSCI.
| Asset group | Asset | Bitcoin | Broad equity markets | Sectors | Macro | Bitcoin industry | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | SPY | QQQ | IWM | VXUS | XLK | XLF | XLE | XLRE | DXY | GLD | AGG | GSCI | MSTR | XYZ | COIN | WGMI | ||
| Bitcoin | Bitcoin[BTC] | 1.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Broad equity markets | S&P 500[SPY] | 0.47 | 1.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Nasdaq-100[QQQ] | 0.45 | 0.93 | 1.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Russell 2000[IWM] | 0.43 | 0.82 | 0.74 | 1.00 | ||||||||||||||
| International Stocks[VXUS] | 0.36 | 0.83 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 1.00 | |||||||||||||
| Sectors | Technology[XLK] | 0.43 | 0.85 | 0.96 | 0.70 | 0.76 | 1.00 | |||||||||||
| Financials[XLF] | 0.31 | 0.54 | 0.30 | 0.55 | 0.37 | 0.22 | 1.00 | |||||||||||
| Energy[XLE] | 0.01 | -0.17 | -0.22 | -0.10 | -0.18 | -0.18 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
| Real Estate[XLRE] | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.05 | 0.39 | 0.29 | -0.05 | 0.43 | -0.01 | 1.00 | |||||||||
| Macro | US Dollar Index[DXY] | -0.15 | -0.28 | -0.23 | -0.26 | -0.51 | -0.20 | -0.13 | 0.08 | -0.24 | 1.00 | |||||||
| Gold[GLD] | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.51 | 0.30 | 0.11 | -0.03 | 0.13 | -0.43 | 1.00 | |||||||
| Aggregate Bond[AGG] | 0.11 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.44 | 0.52 | 0.28 | 0.22 | -0.35 | 0.41 | -0.38 | 0.27 | 1.00 | ||||||
| S&P Commodity Index[GSCI] | -0.01 | -0.28 | -0.21 | -0.28 | -0.34 | -0.15 | -0.26 | 0.62 | -0.24 | 0.19 | 0.05 | -0.40 | 1.00 | |||||
| Bitcoin industry | MicroStrategy[MSTR] | 0.82 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.28 | -0.03 | 0.17 | -0.21 | 0.26 | 0.17 | -0.09 | 1.00 | |||
| Block[XYZ] | 0.32 | 0.52 | 0.45 | 0.47 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.45 | -0.15 | 0.19 | -0.15 | 0.20 | 0.29 | -0.18 | 0.35 | 1.00 | |||
| Coinbase[COIN] | 0.77 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.37 | -0.05 | 0.19 | -0.19 | 0.28 | 0.17 | -0.06 | 0.80 | 0.46 | 1.00 | ||
| Bitcoin Miners[WGMI] | 0.47 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.18 | -0.08 | 0.08 | -0.19 | 0.34 | 0.19 | -0.12 | 0.49 | 0.27 | 0.48 | 1.00 | |
Pearson return correlations over 365 calendar days, using shared observation dates. Each pair appears once; — indicates insufficient data. DXY = DX-Y.NYB · GSCI = ^SPGSCI.
Monthly Bitcoin Price Return Heatmap
Monthly returns by year, measured from the previous period’s close.
Statistical Reference
| Period | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Yearly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average | 4.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | -0.1% | 10.3% | 3.0% | -1.0% | 17.8% | 39.5% | 4.4% | 547% |
| Median | 0.7% | 10.5% | -1.8% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 8.5% | -6.5% | -1.0% | 13.4% | 10.1% | -3.4% | 107% |
| 4 Year Avg | 10.0% | 3.0% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | -3.4% | 3.7% | -0.4% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 51% |
Historical Returns by Year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Yearly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -10.1% | -14.8% | 2.0% | 11.5% | -3.0% | -21.0% | 8.0% | 24.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | — | — | -1% |
| 2025 | 9.5% | -17.7% | -2.2% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 2.3% | 8.4% | -6.5% | 4.7% | -3.5% | -17.1% | -4.0% | -7% |
| 2024 | 0.7% | 44.1% | 15.5% | -14.8% | 11.7% | -7.0% | 3.0% | -8.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 37.6% | -3.3% | 121% |
| 2023 | 39.7% | 0.3% | 23.0% | 3.1% | -7.5% | 12.2% | -4.4% | -10.9% | 3.6% | 28.6% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 156% |
| 2022 | -16.9% | 12.2% | 5.9% | -17.5% | -15.7% | -40.2% | 22.5% | -14.1% | -3.0% | 5.2% | -16.1% | -3.5% | -64% |
| 2021 | 14.0% | 37.0% | 29.9% | -3.0% | -35.0% | -6.4% | 20.2% | 12.7% | -7.1% | 40.7% | -6.6% | -19.4% | 60% |
| 2020 | 30.4% | -7.9% | -25.2% | 35.1% | 8.5% | -3.4% | 24.2% | 2.8% | -7.8% | 28.5% | 41.4% | 48.7% | 305% |
| 2019 | -7.4% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 27.9% | 62.2% | 28.7% | -8.6% | -4.1% | -14.2% | 10.9% | -17.4% | -5.0% | 93% |
| 2018 | -28.4% | 5.3% | -34.1% | 33.1% | -18.9% | -15.2% | 21.1% | -8.8% | -5.7% | -4.5% | -36.9% | -6.9% | -73% |
| 2017 | -0.8% | 24.4% | -10.0% | 25.6% | 70.5% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 65.8% | -8.7% | 47.8% | 54.1% | 41.9% | 1,347% |
| 2016 | -12.2% | 15.1% | -4.4% | 7.9% | 17.4% | 26.6% | -5.7% | -9.5% | 6.0% | 15.8% | 5.9% | 30.0% | 124% |
| 2015 | -28.9% | 10.5% | -3.2% | -2.9% | -3.2% | 14.6% | 8.5% | -19.5% | 3.3% | 31.2% | 20.8% | 14.7% | 34% |
| 2014 | 9.7% | -31.8% | -16.9% | -1.4% | 39.6% | 1.5% | -8.5% | -17.8% | -18.4% | -13.4% | 11.6% | -14.9% | -56% |
| 2013 | 54.5% | 63.8% | 186.9% | 44.8% | -8.1% | -30.0% | 9.3% | 30.3% | -1.0% | 60.8% | 454.1% | -34.9% | 5,428% |
| 2012 | 15.7% | -5.8% | -1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 27.5% | 41.0% | 9.5% | 20.3% | -10.1% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 189% |
Statistics omit incomplete periods. The four-year average uses the four most recent completed observations for each column.
Seasonal Returns
Compare this month’s and this year’s price paths with historical years.
Bitcoin October MTD Returns Comparison
Bitcoin 2026 YTD Returns Comparison
Paths start at the current period’s prior close. Average and Median exclude 2017 and the current year; February 29 is removed from YTD alignment. These comparisons are not forecasts.
Relative Valuation
Bitcoin’s hypothetical price if its market cap matched each reference asset. These are comparison scenarios, not forecasts.
| Asset | Market Cap (USD) | Hypothetical BTC Price (USD) | Change from Current BTC Price (%) | BTC / Asset Market Cap (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Gold Market | $25.36T | $1,261,904 | 1,367% | |
| NVIDIA | $5.77T | $287,089 | 234% | |
| US M0 | $5.73T | $285,162 | 232% | |
| Apple | $4.86T | $241,779 | 181% | |
| Amazon | $2.71T | $134,951 | 57% | |
| TSMC | $2.52T | $125,391 | 46% | |
| SpaceX | $2.26T | $112,237 | 30% | |
| Meta | $1.89T | $94,058 | 9% | |
| Total Silver Market | $1.88T | $93,603 | 9% | |
| Broadcom | $1.73T | $86,120 | 0% | |
| Bitcoin | $1.73T | $86,018 | 0% | — |
| Saudi Aramco | $1.69T | $84,127 | -2% | |
| Tesla | $1.50T | $74,441 | -13% | |
| Samsung Electronics | $1.33T | $66,291 | -23% | |
| Micron | $1.20T | $59,801 | -30% | |
| UK M0 | $1.09T | $54,246 | -37% | |
| Berkshire Hathaway Class B | $1.08T | $53,722 | -38% | |
| Eli Lilly | $1.02T | $50,730 | -41% | |
| JPMorgan | $0.88T | $43,970 | -49% | |
| Visa | $0.69T | $34,542 | -60% | |
| Switzerland M0 | $0.58T | $28,865 | -66% |
Network Fundamentals
Network health, security & on-chain economics.
| Category | Metric | Current Value | 7 Days Ago | 7d Change | 52W Low | 52W High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Network Economics | Bitcoin Supply | 20,093,832 | 20,090,614 | 0.02% | 19,930,895 | 20,093,832 |
| % Supply Issued | 95.68% | 95.67% | 0.02% | 94.91% | 95.68% | |
| Bitcoin Mined Per Day | 550 | 516 | 6.67% | 306 | 616 | |
| Annual Inflation Rate | 0.82% | 0.82% | 0.06% | 0.82% | 0.85% | |
| Velocity | 13.48 | 13.93 | -3.25% | 9.55 | 20.71 | |
| Network Performance | Total Address Count | 57,067,893 | 57,001,167 | 0.12% | 54,331,133 | 57,067,893 |
| Address Count > $10 | 39,012,300 | 38,957,591 | 0.14% | 37,479,049 | 39,186,262 | |
| Active Addresses | 6,088 | 6,780 | -10.21% | 4,300 | 10,240 | |
| Supply Held 1+ Year % | 63.31% | 63.28% | 0.04% | 58.37% | 63.36% | |
| Transaction Count | 899,894 | 780,095 | 15.36% | 289,144 | 899,894 | |
| Transaction Volume | $105,480,175,421 | $79,540,490,833 | 32.61% | $27,382,450,822 | $136,693,513,790 | |
| Transaction Fee USD | $233,331 | $285,661 | -18.32% | $108,206 | $577,017 | |
| Network Security | Hash Rate | 1,161.13 EH/s | 1,088.90 EH/s | 6.63% | 732.41 EH/s | 1,312.79 EH/s |
| Network Difficulty | 132.72T | 132.76T | -0.03% | 124.93T | 155.97T | |
| Miner Revenue | $47,493,766 | $43,271,085 | 9.76% | $22,731,097 | $62,255,509 | |
| Fee % Of Reward | 0.49% | 0.66% | -25.50% | 0.30% | 1.39% | |
| Network Valuation | Market Cap | $1,728,429,665,802 | $1,673,151,928,217 | 3.30% | $1,170,266,627,064 | $2,484,832,702,666 |
| Bitcoin Price | $86,018 | $83,280 | 3.29% | $58,367 | $124,672 | |
| Realized Price | $53,734 | $53,553 | 0.34% | $52,631 | $56,413 | |
| Thermocap Price | $4,916 | $4,903 | 0.26% | $4,305 | $4,916 |
Bitcoin ROI by Time Frame
Returns by holding period.
| Period | ROI | Start Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | -0.3% | $86,246 |
| 3 Day | 2.0% | $84,334 |
| 7 Day | 3.3% | $83,280 |
| 30 Day | 8.1% | $79,583 |
| 90 Day | 35.4% | $63,509 |
| 1 Year | -30.2% | $123,155 |
| 2 Year | 39.0% | $61,864 |
| 4 Year | 326.8% | $20,153 |
| 5 Year | 67.5% | $51,347 |
| 10 Year | 14,001.5% | $610 |